9 Planning with Uncertainty

9.7 References and Further Reading

Utility theory, as presented here, was developed by Neumann and Morgenstern [1953] and was further developed by Savage [1972]. Keeney and Raiffa [1976] discuss utility theory, concentrating on multiattribute (feature-based) utility functions. For work on graphical models of utility and preferences, see Bacchus and Grove [1995] and Boutilier et al. [2004]. Walsh [2007] and Rossi et al. [2011] overview the use of preferences in AI.

Kahneman [2011] discusses the psychology behind how people make decisions under uncertainty and motivates prospect theory. Wakker [2010] provides a textbook overview of utility and prospect theories.

Decision networks or influence diagrams were invented by Howard and Matheson [1984]. A method using dynamic programming for solving influence diagrams can be found in Shachter and Peot [1992]. The value of information and control is discussed by Matheson [1990].

MDPs were invented by Bellman [1957] and are discussed by Puterman [1994] and Bertsekas [1995]. Mausam and Kolobov [2012] overview MDPs in AI. Boutilier et al. [1999] review lifting MDPs to features, known as decision-theoretic planning.